For Tonight: An area of high pressure will gradually push to the east tonight. Meanwhile, a frontal boundary is expected to approach the region from the west.
Skies will be clear this evening but will become cloudy after midnight. Low temperatures will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 5 to 10 mph before midnight and Light and Variable after midnight.
Tuesday: A cold front is expected to move through the region during the day Tuesday. This front will bring with it widespread showers to the area throughout the day Tuesday.
Showers are expected to increase in coverage during the morning so that by late morning, there will be widespread shower activity across the entire area. This widespread shower activity is expected to continue through the first half of the afternoon before coming to an end during the late afternoon hours.
Rainfall totals during the day on Tuesday will be between one quarter of an inch (0.25”) and one half of an inch (0.50”). Not a lot, I know, but at least it’s something more in terms of rainfall.
Behind that front, skies are expected to clear out by early evening with clear skies expected throughout Tuesday night.
High temperatures Tuesday will be near 50 Degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be between 30 and 35 Degrees.
Winds on Tuesday will be Southeast at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and the winds are expected to become West and increase to 15 to 20 mph by mid and late afternoon hours. Winds on Tuesday night will be West at 10 to 20 mph.
Wednesday: Nice weather for holiday travel is expected on Wednesday with partly sunny skies expected. High temperatures will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. Winds will be West at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Thanksgiving Day: An area of low pressure is expected to track near or right over Southern New England bringing with it a wet Thanksgiving across the entire area. Where this storm tracks in relation to Southern New England is going to be important in determining whether any snow mixes in with the rain or not.
On one hand, it’s possible that we could see a more inland track across central New England, which would lead to all rain across the entire area throughout Thanksgiving Day. This rain then persists into Thursday night before ending. Any snow would be limited to the northern Green Mountains of Vermont, the White Mountains of New Hampshire and western and northern parts of Maine.
A second possible storm scenario is a storm system that tracks along the South Coast of New England which could lead to a slightly chillier precipitation outcome. In this second scenario, we’d see the potential for all rain near and south of the Mass Pike, rain that changes to a rain-snow mix north of the Mass Pike near the end of the storm and rain to start that changes to snow near and north of Route 2.
At this point, I continue to lean much more towards a scenario that produces all rain across a majority of Western and Central Mass throughout the day on Thanksgiving Day and lasts into Thursday night. The exception could be across the northern Worcester Hills, areas near and north of Route 2 and across the Berkshires. Across these areas, it could potentially rain for much of the day Thanksgiving Day but then the rain might mix with and even change to snow during Thursday evening. An inch or two of slushy snowfall could occur over the northern Worcester Hills, the Berkshires and across areas near and north of Route 2.
That all said, expect there will be more refinements and possibly changes to the forecast as we get a better idea of the exact track of this storm system.
High temperatures Thanksgiving Day will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Low temperatures Thursday night will be between 30 and 35 Degrees.
Friday Through The Weekend: Once that low pressure system pulls away from the area, it will pull down the coldest air so far this season into the area.
A mixture of sunshine and clouds can be expected on Friday with high temperatures near 40 Degrees.
Saturday looks sunny and windy with high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees.
Sunday looks sunny to partly sunny, cold and windy with high temperatures near 35 Degrees.
The Coldest Start To A December In 10 Years Can Be Expected: It’s still expected that the first part of December will start out quite cold with below average temperatures. All indications are pointing towards the beginning of December being the coldest in about 10 years or so.
The question continues to be whether or not any storms will take advantage of this cold air and give us a snowy start to December. This is something that’s almost impossible to answer until we get much closer in time. That said, I do like our chances for the possibility of a snowy start to December and to actually get some snow on the ground to start the holiday season.
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