For The Rest Of This Afternoon: Lots of sunshine can be expected throughout the rest of this afternoon across the entire area. It will also continue to be cold and windy. Temperatures will be between 24 and 29 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected throughout tonight. Low temperatures will be between 10 and 15 Degrees. Winds will be West at 10 to 15 mph before midnight and Southwest at 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Thursday: A warm front will push its way towards our area during the day on Thursday making it as far east as western parts of New York State by late afternoon.
Skies will start out partly sunny during the morning, but will become cloudy by early to mid-afternoon. Additionally, some scattered snow showers look likely across the area during the late afternoon hours.
High temperatures will be near 30 Degrees. Winds will be Southwest at 7 to 14 mph.
Thursday Night: That warm front will cross the region during Thursday evening bringing with it a continuation of some scattered snow shower activity during the evening.
Those scattered snow showers will come to an end around midnight or so with skies remaining cloudy during the after midnight hours.
Low temperatures will be between 15 and 20 Degrees. Winds will be West to Southwest at 5 to 10 mph before midnight and Northwest at 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Friday: An area of high pressure will build over the area during Friday.
This means that skies will be partly sunny during the morning and sunny during the afternoon. High temperatures will be near 35 Degrees. Winds will be North to Northwest at 7 to 15 mph.
Saturday: A cold front will push through the area during Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening. The southwesterly wind flow ahead of this front will lead to mild enough temperatures so that the showers that do occur will be in the form of rain during the late afternoon and evening hours.
Cloudy skies are expected throughout the day on Saturday. In addition, rain showers are expected during the late afternoon and evening hours.
High temperatures will be near 45 Degrees.
Sunday: Skies will start out partly sunny during the morning, but look to become cloudy during the afternoon as a storm system might approach the region from the southwest. High temperatures Sunday will be near 40 Degrees.
Snow Is A Possibility Sunday Night Into Monday Morning: There is quite a bit of uncertainty with the forecast for Sunday night into Monday morning as it looks like an area of low pressure will ride along a frontal boundary located near the south coast of New England.
The big question is how close will this storm system track to our area.
Some of the weather forecast guidance are showing a storm track near the Cape leading to a scenario that has rain to start with that changes to snow along with crashing temperatures. This would lead to all sorts of problems, including a flash freeze when the rain changes to snow & a few inches of snow falling onto some very icy surfaces during Sunday night and Monday morning.
Other weather forecast guidance show the storm system pulling the frontal system far enough offshore so that we don’t see any precipitation at all on Sunday night and Monday morning.
At this point, I’m leaning more towards the closer storm track to our area. This means that this storm system will not only bring a rain to snow scenario for Sunday night and Monday morning , but also will usher in another round of very cold temperatures across the area throughout next week.
So my thinking is that we’ll see some rain to start with on Sunday evening that changes to snow by about midnight Sunday night. Snow then continues during the after midnight hours of Sunday night and during the morning hours of Monday. In addition to this, temperatures are expected to crash from the upper 30s to near 40 Degrees Sunday evening to near 15 Degrees by the after midnight hours of Sunday night. Temperatures on Monday will only rise to near 25 Degrees. This means that a flash freeze of any rain that falls on Sunday evening is a distinct possibility leading to some very icy conditions during the after midnight hours of Sunday night right into much of Monday. As I said, I think a few inches of snow accumulation (something like a 2-4 inch or 3-5 inch snowfall) seems a distinct possibility right now and this means that this snow will fall on top of some very icy ground conditions making things even more treacherous in terms of travel conditions.
That all said, this forecast is still an uncertain one and I think we need another day or two to get a better handle on how this storm might unfold. Keep checking back for updates.
Maybe Another Storm To Watch For About The Middle Part Of Next Week: Next weeks looks very cold as that Arctic air mass settles over our area. Daytime high temperatures throughout next week will be in the upper teens to low 20s with overnight low temperatures in the Zero to 10 above zero range. Much of next week also looks pretty windy leading to wind chill temperatures of around zero during the daytime hours and wind chill temperatures of near 10 below zero during the nighttime hours.
In addition, it also looks like a storm system will develop near the Gulf coast on Tuesday and then head east-northeastward across the southern United States towards the North Carolina coast by late Wednesday. This storm system has the potential to bring a rather major snow and ice storm to a large part of the Deep South from east and southeast Texas through much of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, the Florida Panhandle and the Carolinas during Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
The big question then becomes where will this storm go after it reaches the North Carolina coast. My “gut feeling” is that this storm system may stay well offshore to really give us a significant snowfall. Instead, we may just stay dry, but very cold for the middle and later parts of next week. That said, it’s certainly possible that this storm might pass just close enough to give the area some light snow late Wednesday night into Thursday of next week. Either way, it is a storm that I’m watching closely and I’ll have updates as needed.
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