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A Soaking Rainfall Is Expected Throughout All Of Wednesday & Into Wednesday Evening: A strong storm system and its associated frontal system is expected to affect the entire area throughout all of Wednesday and into Wednesday evening. This storm system will bring with it heavy rain which will lead to river, stream and urban flooding and windy conditions.


Heavy Rain With The Flood Threat: Some scattered showers can be expected to begin this evening and then continue throughout the overnight hours of tonight. It should be noted that some freezing rain showers could occur during this evening leading to some light icing issues as well as the potential for some slick conditions. Temperatures will rise well above freezing after midnight and because of this, the threat for freezing rain will end.


Steady rain is expected to begin across the entire area between 3 am and 5 am Wednesday morning.


The heavy rain threat is expected to occur in two parts:


The first round will occur during Wednesday morning with rain expected all morning long. Some of the rain will fall at a moderate rate at times.


A break in the steady rain looks to occur from about midday until about mid-afternoon. That said, there will still be scattered showers around during the early afternoon hours.


The second round is expected to occur beginning around 3-4 pm Wednesday afternoon and last until about midnight Wednesday night. A strong cold front is expected to push through the area during this time frame. Out ahead of this front, rain, heavy at times can be expected from late Wednesday afternoon right through all of Wednesday evening. Additionally, there is expected to be some unstable air around when the front moves through and because of this, a few embedded thunderstorms are possible between about 6 pm and 10-11 pm Wednesday evening.


Rain ends around midnight on Wednesday night.


Total rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches can be expected across the entire area. There is the possibility of isolated rainfall amounts of up to 4 inches.


This heavy rain will combine with a lot of snow melt from northern New England to lead to some of the big rivers across Western and Central Mass to reach near flood stage. More likely though, some of the smaller rivers, streams and brooks feeding off of the big rivers are more likely to go into flood stage with this heavy rain event.


Also, flooding of roads, highways, areas of poor drainage and urban areas is likely as the rain will be falling onto a partially frozen ground & because of this, the rain will run off rather than soak into the ground.


Windy To Very Windy Conditions Expected Wednesday Afternoon Into Wednesday Night: That strong cold front is also expected to bring with it the potential of windy to very windy conditions beginning on Wednesday afternoon and continuing into Wednesday night.


At this point, it appears that South winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40-50 mph can be expected throughout Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening. These wind gusts will need to be watched though during Wednesday evening as any embedded thunderstorms could pull down some 55-60 mph wind gusts.


The combination of the heavy rain and windy conditions will likely lead to the potential for some downed trees and some power outages.


Black Ice Threat: Temperatures are expected fall quickly behind that front from the low to middle 50s during Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening to the low to mid 30s shortly after midnight Wednesday night.


Because of this, there is likelihood of icy conditions to develop during the after midnight hours as all of the moisture from the heavy rain freezes up.


This means that you need to be aware that any remaining water or moisture on roads, parking lots, driveways, stairs and decks are likely to freeze up from just after midnight Wednesday night right through the Thursday morning commute.

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For The Rest Of This Afternoon Into This Evening: Rain is expected to continue overspread the region over the next couple of hours and it is expected to be raining everywhere by 3 pm. This rain is then expected to continue into this evening before it comes to an end by 9-10 pm this evening.


I expect that the precipitation across a majority of the area to be just rain as temperatures everywhere are in the low to mid 40s. The exception might be over extreme northern parts of the Worcester Hills (well north of Route 2) and over the northern Berkshires where some pockets of freezing rain might occur at times.


Rainfall totals with this first weather system will average between one quarter of an inch and one half of an inch.


Temperatures the rest of this afternoon will be in the low to mid 40s. Low temperatures late tonight will be between 30 and 35 Degrees.


Winds the rest of this afternoon will be East at 6 to 12 mph. Winds tonight will be North to Northeast at 7 to 14 mph.


Tuesday: A east to northeasterly wind flow is expected to keep the entire area cloudy with areas of drizzle and fog at times. High temperatures will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 5 to 10 mph.


Even More Rain Is Expected From Late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday & Into Wednesday Evening: A soaking rainfall is expected across the entire area beginning late Tuesday night and continuing through Wednesday and into Wednesday evening.


A low pressure system riding along a frontal boundary is expected to affect the region during the day on Wednesday. Mild air and abundant amounts of moisture will lead to the likelihood of this being all rain across the entire area.


Rain is expected to begin across the entire area around or just after midnight Tuesday night.


Rain then continues through all day Wednesday and the rain will be heavy at times during the late afternoon hours of Wednesday.


Rain, which will be heavy at times, is expected to continue into Wednesday evening before it ends around midnight Wednesday night as a strong cold front pushes through the region. In fact, there might even be the chance of a rumble or two of thunder during Wednesday evening.


As that front moves to the east late Wednesday night, cold air will push into the region leading to temperatures to fall into the low to mid 30s by the late night hours of Wednesday night. Because of this, we might have to keep an eye on the possibility for some icy roads, parking lots and driveways for the Thursday morning commute as leftover moisture from the rain might freeze up.


Rainfall totals from late Tuesday night to Wednesday evening are expected to average between 2 inches and 2.50 inches across the entire area leading to the potential for street flooding and poor drainage flooding.


High temperatures Wednesday will be between 54 and 59 Degrees. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be between 30 and 35 Degrees.


Winds on Wednesday will be South at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Winds on Wednesday night will be West at 18 to 28 mph with gusts to 40-45 mph.

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For Tonight Into Sunday Morning: A fast moving weak low pressure system will push across northern New England during tonight into Sunday morning bringing with it a bit of snow to our area later tonight into Sunday morning.


Light snow is expected to overspread between 9 pm and 11 pm across Western Mass. This light snow will then begin across Central Mass between about 10 pm and midnight.


The light snow is then expected to continue throughout the rest of the night tonight and then come to an end from west to east between 6 am and 8 am Sunday morning.


Snow accumulations from this system will average about an inch for a majority of Western and Central Mass. It’s possible that areas in the northern Worcester Hills as well as areas near and north of Route 2 may end up with closer to 2 inches of snow accumulation.


Low temperatures tonight will be between 25 and 30 Degrees. Winds will be Southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.


Sunday Afternoon: Skies are expected to become sunny to partly sunny by Sunday afternoon with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees. Winds will be West at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.


Monday & Monday Night: Skies are expected to start out partly sunny during Monday morning, however, precipitation will overspread the entire area during the afternoon as another storm system crosses the region.


The precipitation type is something that’ll need to be monitored closely as colder air might be tough to completely erode away, especially in the Worcester Hills.


This means that I think that it’ll probably be just rain across areas near and south of the Mass Pike as well as across the Pioneer Valley of Western Mass. For areas north of the Mass Pike and especially across the Worcester Hills, it looks like there might be issues with freezing rain during Monday afternoon and this is something that’ll need to be watched very closely.


Precipitation in the form of rain for most areas, except for a possible continuation of freezing rain across the Worcester Hills is expected to persist into Monday evening before it comes to an end later Monday night.


High temperatures Monday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees across the Pioneer Valley and across areas near and south of the Mass Pike and between 30 and 35 Degrees across the Worcester Hills. Low temperatures Monday night will be between 30 and 35 Degrees.


Tuesday: Cloudy skies are expected throughout the day on Tuesday with high temperatures near 40 Degrees.


Wednesday: Yet another robust frontal system is expected to push through the region during the day on Wednesday bringing with it all rain across the entire area.


I do think that it will be a soaking rain everywhere across Western and Central Mass throughout the day on Wednesday with high temperatures that are near 55 Degrees.


It’s possible that the rain might end as a bit of snow during Wednesday evening as that front moves to the east. Even if this happens, any snow amounts will be very minimal. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be between 30 and 35 Degrees and because of this, we might have to watch for roads, driveways and parking lots to become icy after midnight Wednesday night as leftover moisture might freeze up.


Thursday Through Friday: Skies on Thursday will be partly sunny with high temperatures near 40 Degrees.


Friday looks sunny with high temperatures between 30 and 35 Degrees.

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