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For Tonight: Varying amounts of cloud cover can be expected throughout tonight. Low temperatures will be around 20 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 10 to 20 mph.


Thursday: A mixture of sunshine and clouds can be expected throughout the day on Thursday. High temperatures will be near 35 Degrees. Winds will be Northwest at 10 to 20 mph.


Friday Through Saturday: An area of high pressure will control the weather throughout the day on Friday. This means that sunny skies can be expected on Friday with high temperatures will be near 35 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at around 10 mph.


A weak frontal system looks to cross the region during Friday night and Saturday morning. Even though this frontal system will be moisture starved, there may be just enough moisture associated with it to produce some isolated snow showers during the late night hours of Friday night into Saturday morning. Any accumulations of snow will be a dusting, at most.


Once that frontal system passes during Saturday morning, skies will become partly sunny during Saturday afternoon.


Low temperatures Friday night will be near 20 Degrees. High temperatures Saturday will be around 35 Degrees.


Watching A Storm For Sunday Night & Monday, But At This Point, It Should Miss Our Area: An area of low pressure is expected to track off of the North Carolina coast by Sunday night & then head off of the East Coast of the US by later Sunday night and Monday. Where this low pressure tracks in relation to our area remains somewhat uncertain & because of this, the impacts on our area remain a little uncertain.


That being said, it seems that the consensus in the weather forecast guidance is for the low pressure to pass well south of New England. Should this occur, then no impacts or very little impacts on our area would result.


Even though it seems that most of the weather guidance are showing a out to sea track, remember that this is still 4 to 5 day forecast & shifts in the storm track can certainly occur between now and then.


My thinking right now is that the northern and southern parts of the jet stream probably will not link up. Because of this, the west-southwest to east-northeast flow of the southern part of the jet stream should probably carry this storm well south of our area. This means that we probably will end up with no snow or at most, perhaps some light snow Sunday night into Monday that leaves a light accumulation of snow.


Keep checking back though for later updates to make sure the forecast hasn’t changed.

 
 
 

Snow is expected to overspread Western Mass by about 4-5 pm this afternoon. The snow is then expected to begin across Central Mass by about 5-6 pm this evening.


Once the snow begins, it is expected to continue on and off through all of this evening.


While most of the time, the snow intensity will be light late this afternoon and this evening, there is expected to be a period where the snow will fall at a moderate to possibly heavy intensity between about 10 pm and 1 am.


The snow is expected to come to an end by 1-2 am Wednesday morning.


As For Snow Amounts: For Western Mass: It appears that snow amounts of 1 to 2 inches look most likely across Western Mass during late this afternoon and this evening. There may be up to 3 inches of snow accumulation in the hilltowns of Western Mass.


For Central Mass: Snow totals of 2 to 3 inches can be expected across all of Central Mass during late this afternoon and this evening.


Overall, this does not look like a big deal in terms of snow amounts, however, roads will still probably be slick starting around 4-5 pm in Western Mass and starting around 5-6 pm across Central Mass. These slick road conditions will likely continue through this evening across the entire area. Because of this, use caution if you have to be out and about during late this afternoon and this evening.

 
 
 

For The Rest Of This Afternoon & Tonight: Lots of sunshine can be expected throughout the rest of this afternoon. Temperatures will be around 25 Degrees. Winds will be Northwest at 15 to 20 mph.


Skies will start out clear this evening, however, varying amounts of cloud cover can then be expected during the after midnight hours. Low temperatures will be between 10 and 15 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 7 to 14 mph.


1 To 3 Inches Of Snow Is Expected From Late Tuesday Afternoon Through Tuesday Evening: An area of low pressure is expected to track across central and northern New England during Tuesday night. While a majority of the snow with this system will fall across Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont, it does appears that some snow will occur across Western and Central Mass during late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening.


Light snow looks to overspread the entire area during late Tuesday afternoon. The snow is then expected to continue through Tuesday evening before it comes to an end around midnight on Tuesday night.


Snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches or so can be expected across the entire area. These amounts look to be closer to 1 to 2 inches for areas near and south of the Mass Pike & closer to 2 to 3 inches of snow accumulation for areas well north of the Mass Pike, especially in the northern Worcester Hills.


High temperatures Tuesday will be around 30 Degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be near 25 Degrees.


Winds on Tuesday will be West to Northwest at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and Southwest at 6 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds on Tuesday night will be Southwest at 10 to 15 mph before midnight and West at 10 to 20 mph after midnight.


Wednesday Through Friday: Varying amounts of cloud cover can be expected throughout the day on Wednesday. High temperatures will be around 35 Degrees. Winds will be West at 15 to 20 mph.


Thursday is expected to be partly sunny with high temperatures between 30 and 35 Degrees.


Friday looks sunny to partly sunny with high temperatures near 30 Degrees.


Some Sort Of A Storm Is Possible During Presidents Day Weekend: The weather during the upcoming Presidents’ Day weekend is going to hinge on what happens with a low pressure system that is expected to track northeastward from the southern and southeastern United States. Right now, there is a high amount of uncertainty as to where this storm will track in relation to our area. This means that the forecast for the weekend has a high degree of uncertainty & could be everything from dry weather with no precipitation at all to a messy mixture of snow, ice and rain to perhaps another snowstorm for the entire area. Any storm that may impact us would occur beginning Sunday afternoon and lasting through Sunday night and Presidents Day.


Looking at the latest weather forecast guidance, as typical for a 5 to 6 day forecast, they show some very different scenarios.


For instance, some of the weather forecast guidance such as the GFS model and the Canadian model show a storm track that takes this low pressure system well south of the area leading to no impacts at all on our area.


Some of the other weather forecast guidance have shown a more inland storm track which would lead to a messy mix of snow, ice and rain from Sunday afternoon through next Monday.


And yet other weather forecast guidance such as the European model are forecasting a low pressure system that tracks along the south coast of New England to near Nantucket. This type of track would lead to a classic heavy snowstorm from Sunday afternoon through next Monday.


Given how uncertain the forecast is for late this coming weekend, there isn’t much more to say except that I urge you to be at least aware that a storm system may affect the weather from Sunday afternoon through Sunday night and next Monday with either all snow or a messy mixture of snow, ice and rain. That said, there is also a very real chance that this storm may just miss us leading us with no precipitation at all.


No matter what happens with this possible storm for Presidents’ Day weekend, I will be keeping close tabs on it.

 
 
 
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