Rain Continues Through Monday Across Western & Central Mass

For This Afternoon Through Monday: Even though the worst of the wind is now done across the entire area, we are not even close to being done with the rain with our Nor’Easter.

An area of low pressure is currently located along the southern New Jersey coast. It is expected that this low pressure system will remain stalled near the New Jersey coast through tonight before it moves northeastward and eventually tracks near the Cape by Monday night. This means that the rain with this storm system will continue across all of Western and Central Mass from this afternoon through tonight, Monday and even Monday night before it ends by Tuesday morning.

Bands of rain, some of which will be moderate to heavy at times, will continue throughout this afternoon. It seems the steadiest and heaviest rain will occur across Central Mass, while more on and off rain looks to occur across Western Mass during this afternoon. Temperatures during this afternoon will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds will be Northeast at 15 to 20 mph with gusts of up to 30 to 40 mph.

Rain is expected to continue across all of Western and Central Mass throughout all of tonight and the rain will be moderate to heavy at times. Low temperatures will be around 50 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts of up to 30 mph.

Monday is expected to be a rainy day across all of Western and Central Mass. The rain could be moderate to heavy at times. High temperatures Monday will be in the upper 50s. Winds will be Northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

It appears that the rain will continue through Monday evening before it finally comes to an end by after midnight Monday night. Low temperatures Monday night will be between 45 and 50 Degrees. Winds will be North at 10 to 15 mph.

Additional Rainfall Amounts look to range from up to one more inch of rain across Western Mass to 1 to 2 more inches of additional rainfall across Central Mass. Locally higher additional rainfall amounts are likely across Central Mass, especially across northern and eastern parts of Worcester County.

Tuesday: That low pressure system is expected to finally move away during Tuesday. Skies are expected to be cloudy throughout the day on Tuesday. In addition, it is possible that there could be some scattered shower activity during the day.

High temperatures will be between 60 and 65 Degrees. Winds will be Northwest at around 10 mph.

Wednesday Through Friday: The weather looks to turn much calmer for the second half of this coming week.

Wednesday looks cloudy with high temperatures between 70 and 75 Degrees.

A warm day is expected on Thursday under sunny skies. High temperatures will be near 80 Degrees.

Friday looks sunny with high temperatures between 70 and 75 Degrees.

Bands Of Rain, Which Will Be Heavy At Times, & Wind Gusts Of Up To 40 To 50 mph Are Expected This Afternoon Through Tonight & Sunday Across Western & Central Mass

Weather analysis as of midday showed a strong low pressure system that’s located to the east of the Delmarva Peninsula. This storm is most certainly producing some pretty windy conditions across the entire area with reports of downed trees and power outages already, and we’re not even into the worst part of the winds yet. The rain portion of this storm hasn’t quite reached our area as of yet. Bands of rain, some of it moderate to heavy in intensity are gradually pushing their way northward from southern Connecticut, southern Rhode Island and the Cape. These bands of rain are expected to gradually push their way into Western & Central Mass from south to north as we progress through this afternoon and this evening. The heaviest of the rain with this storm is expected from later this afternoon through tonight and Sunday.

Let’s break this storm down again in terms of what to expect across Western and Central Mass:

Rain: Bands of rain, some of it moderate to heavy in intensity, will rotate their way northward into Western and Central Mass during this afternoon. These bands of rain, some of it moderate to heavy in intensity, will continue to rotate through our area during tonight and during all day Sunday. Additionally, this storm is a bit more convectively active than what was previously expected. Because of this, an isolated thunderstorm or two is a possibility during late this afternoon and during tonight.

Given the fact that it appears likely now that we are going to see bands of rain, it means that it will not rain steadily the whole time this afternoon, tonight and Sunday. But when these bands of rain rotate through, it’s going to rain hard for somewhere between a couple of hours and a few hours at a time.

The rain is still expected to continue through Sunday night, all of Monday and all of Monday night. The rain looks to finally come to an end by Tuesday morning.

Bottom line is that the rain portion of this storm hasn’t even begun yet, but it will most definitely get underway during this afternoon.

Total Rainfall Amounts With This Storm still looks to range from 1 to 2 inches across Western Mass to 2 to 3 inches of total rainfall across Central Mass. I do think that there will be locally higher rainfall amounts across areas of Worcester County that are near and east of I-190 and near and east of I-395. In these areas, I expect to see much more frequent bands of moderate to heavy rain to rotate through.

Given the long-duration that the rain will be falling, I don’t think that we’re looking at any sort of flood concerns across the region. There could, however, be areas where street, highway and poor drainage flooding could be an issue when any bands of heavy rain rotate through.

Wind: The wind portion of this storm has already been causing problems across the entire region with reports of downed trees and power lines & we are not even into the worst part of the winds yet.

Northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 45 mph are expected throughout this afternoon.

A period of stronger northeast winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected during tonight with these strong winds persisting through all of Sunday morning. This is when the worst part of the storm, in terms of winds will be.

During Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, expect northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. These winds should decrease on Monday with north winds of 10 to 20 mph expected all day long.

These strong winds combined with trees that are still fully leafed will lead to both broken tree limbs and some downed trees. This, in turn, will lead to the likelihood of even more scattered power outages throughout this weekend. I think the time frame that may see the highest concentration of broken tree limbs, downed trees and scattered power outages will be from about 4 pm this afternoon through all of tonight and until about 11 am Sunday morning.

Many more updates on this storm will be posted as needed.

A Prolonged Wind-Swept Rain Is Still Expected All Weekend Long Across Western & Central Mass

Prolonged Wind-Swept Rain Is Still Expected All Weekend Long: Weather analysis this afternoon showed a strengthening low pressure system that’s located to the east of the Mid-Atlantic coastline. This low pressure system is expected to strengthen as it moves very slowly northward reaching a position just south of Long Island by late Saturday. The low pressure system is then expected to stall & then sit and spin just south of Long Island from Saturday night through Sunday and even Monday. This stalling of the low pressure system is going to mean that we will have a prolonged wind-swept rain across all of Western and Central Mass throughout all of this weekend. This rain is even expected to last through the day on Monday before it comes to an end Monday night and Tuesday.

So, let me break down what to expect from this storm this weekend across Western and Central Mass:

Rain: Radar imagery as of this afternoon showed a shield of rain pushing northwestward and now reaching parts of the Cape.

The shield of steady rain is expected to slowly expand northwestward and should begin to overspread Central Mass between 8 pm and midnight this evening. The rain then looks to overspread Western Mass during the after midnight hours of tonight.

The rain is then expected to continue throughout all of this weekend with the rain expected to continue through all of Monday.

One thing that I wanted to mention is that it may not actually rain steadily the entire time this weekend. The reason why I think this is because there are signals in the data that suggest the rain will break up into bands of moderate to heavy rain that rotate through at times as that low pressure system strengthens and then mills around to the south of Long Island. That being said, it definitely will rain enough this weekend to make it a washout.

Total Rainfall Amounts This Weekend Through Monday will range from 1 to 2 inches across Western Mass to 2 to 3 inches of total rainfall across Central Mass. I do think that there will be locally higher rainfall amounts across southern and southeastern parts of Worcester County where there may be more frequent bands of moderate to heavy rain rotating through during this weekend.

Given the long-duration that the rain will be falling, I don’t think that we’re looking at any sort of flood concerns across the region this weekend. There could, however, be areas where street, highway and poor drainage flooding could be an issue when any bands of heavy rain rotate through.

Wind: It is going to be a windy weekend across all of Western and Central Mass & combined with the rain will lead to a pretty miserable weekend.

Northeast winds are expected to increase to 20 to 30 mph with gusts of up to 40 mph during tonight & continue through all day Saturday.

A period of stronger northeast winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph looks to occur during Saturday night & Sunday morning and this is when the peak of this storm should occur.

During Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, expect northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. These winds should decrease on Monday with north winds of 10 to 20 mph expected all day long.

These strong winds occurring for an extended period of time combined with trees that are still fully leafed will lead to broken tree limbs and the potential for isolated to even scattered power outages throughout this weekend. I think the time frame that may see the highest concentration of broken tree limbs and possibly some power outages will be from late Saturday afternoon through Saturday night and Sunday morning.

Many more updates on this storm will be posted as needed.